Link: Probability distribution
What’s exponential distribution?
The exponential distribution is commonly used to model time.
PDF of exponential distribution
where λ is the rate of how quickly it happens. A larger λ represents a steeper line, while smaller λ represents a slower line.
PDF in graph
Maximum likelihood in exponential distribution
The goal of Maximum likelihood is to find an optimal value for λ.
This is the likelihood of λ given the data x1, x2, …xn. Check more details about the math derivation in this video.
Based on above equation, we can try different λ to find the best fit by *taking the derivative of above equation = 0 and solve for λ as below. Again, check this video to learn the math behind it. After that, we will get the maximum likelihood estimate for λ: